The 2024 election cycle has taken an unprecedented turn as President Joe Biden hits the campaign trail while his predecessor, Donald Trump, faces a criminal trial. Last week, Biden engaged with voters in Pennsylvania, visiting a steelworkers’ union and popular convenience stores, while Trump observed jury selection in a Manhattan courtroom. This unique juxtaposition highlights how the upcoming presidential election will unfold not only on the campaign trail but also in courtrooms.
The trial, which marks the first time a former U.S. president is a criminal defendant, has left lawmakers and strategists uncertain about the impact on the November election. Republican strategist Brian Seitchik emphasized that the key to victory lies in keeping voters focused on the opponent. If the election becomes a referendum on Biden, Trump stands a better chance, and vice versa.
However, some lawmakers doubt that the ongoing trial is at the forefront of most voters’ minds. Senator James Lankford noted that despite the litigation fights, Trump’s popularity continues to rise, suggesting that frustration with courtroom proceedings may lead to diminishing returns. On the other hand, Democratic Representative Ro Khanna believes that the trial provides an opportunity for Biden to address real issues that concern the American people, such as the cost of living and national security.
Recent polling data indicates a close race between the two candidates, both nationally and in key swing states. Biden has narrowed Trump’s advantage in several battlegrounds. During his campaign stops in Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state, Biden focused on making access to abortion a contentious issue for Trump and other Republican candidates. He also emphasized the erosion of democratic norms under a potential second Trump term.